Wednesday, March 21, 2012
Earthquake in Oaxaca and Heavy Mass Objects
My article on Earthquakes and the recent prediction of a magnitude 9 earthquake on March 22 by Terral03 has had a sudden spike in hits in the wake of the magnitude 7.4 earthquake in Oaxaca.
But remember, we have on average 15 earthquakes of magnitude 7-8 every year, the probability of an earthquake of magnitude 7-8 on any given day of the month is 1 in 24. the probability that an earthquake of magnitude 7-8 will fall within +/- 2 days of a given day is 1 in 5.
So, no a magnitude 7.4 earthquake in on March 20 does not validate Terrals' prediction.
But remember, we have on average 15 earthquakes of magnitude 7-8 every year, the probability of an earthquake of magnitude 7-8 on any given day of the month is 1 in 24. the probability that an earthquake of magnitude 7-8 will fall within +/- 2 days of a given day is 1 in 5.
So, no a magnitude 7.4 earthquake in on March 20 does not validate Terrals' prediction.
Labels: earthquakes, miscelaneous
# posted by Ian Musgrave @ 10:58 pm 
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